Report

The Nuclear Industry at a Turning Point: Policy Reform, Market Expansion, and Risk Considerations for 2026

How AI-driven power demand and data center growth, NRC modernization and federal policy reform, and evolving construction risk are reshaping nuclear development in 2026 and beyond.
February 2026

The nuclear energy industry entered 2025 at a pivotal moment as rising electricity demand from AI, data centers, and electrification collided with decarbonization, energy security, and industrial policy priorities. Against this backdrop, federal policymakers advanced regulatory reforms, leadership changes reshaped agency direction, and market participants reassessed deployment pathways for both existing and advanced nuclear technologies. This report examines the key developments that defined 2025 and the issues shaping the industry’s trajectory into 2026.

Key Takeaways

  • Artificial intelligence (AI) and data center load growth is accelerating demand for firm, carbon-free power, pushing nuclear high on the list of procurement options.
  • Near-term actions are increasingly centered on optimizing the existing fleet through power uprates, license renewals, and restarting shuttered plants, making Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) review throughput and predictability a core gating issue.
  • Federal policy momentum in 2025 (executive directives to the US Department of Energy and NRC, NRC leadership changes, and ADVANCE Act implementation) is reshaping the nuclear licensing environment, but the durability of reforms will depend on sustained institutional capacity and stable governance.
  • ADVANCE Act implementation is translating into concrete cost and process impacts, most notably fee relief for advanced reactor applicants and regulatory efficiencies under NEPA, improving the schedule and cost to first deployment.
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Potential of Nuclear in Powering AI and Data Centers Continues to Rise

The rapid growth of artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and data center infrastructure has emerged as one of the most consequential drivers of electricity demand worldwide. As AI workloads become more energy‑intensive and data center operators seek reliable, around‑the‑clock power to support mission‑critical operations, nuclear energy is increasingly being reevaluated as a core component of future power strategies.

Throughout 2025, policymakers, utilities, and technology companies continued to explore how nuclear generation could help meet demand while supporting decarbonization and grid reliability objectives.

Nuclear Energy’s Role in Meeting AI‑Driven Power Demand

Electricity demand projections tied to AI and data center expansion have accelerated, particularly in regions already experiencing grid congestion and transmission constraints. Unlike intermittent renewable resources, nuclear power offers a carbon-free baseload option capable of delivering high-capacity factors and predictable output—attributes that align closely with the operational needs of large-scale data centers.

In 2025, industry discussions were further reinforced by federal initiatives highlighting AI as a driver of energy and nuclear research, signaling that AI-enabled computing and scientific workloads are likely to intensify demand for firm, reliable power.

Technology companies have shown growing interest in long-term power procurement strategies that prioritize reliability and emissions reductions. While renewable power purchase agreements remain part of many decarbonization strategies, the high reliability demands of AI-driven data centers have elevated natural gas as a leading near-term power solution due to its dispatchability and deployment speed.

At the same time, sustained AI-driven load growth—including demand associated with AI-focused research platforms and secure cloud environments—has prompted renewed attention to nuclear-backed arrangements, such as direct contracts, utility-mediated supply, and potential co-location models. These dynamics reflect a broader recognition that meeting future demand will likely require a diversified generation mix in which nuclear plays a more prominent long-term role.

Power Uprates and Optimization of Existing Nuclear Assets

An immediate pathway for increasing nuclear output lies in the optimization of the existing reactor fleet. Reactor operators are increasingly evaluating power uprates as a near‑term strategy to expand generating capacity without constructing new facilities. Uprates can deliver incremental capacity gains by leveraging existing infrastructure, though they require careful technical analysis and regulatory approval.

In 2025, interest in uprates contributed to a steady flow of licensing activity at the NRC, highlighting the role that regulatory efficiency will play in enabling timely capacity additions. For data center developers seeking near‑term solutions, uprates and supporting restart of reactors that were shuttered for economic reasons offers a practical mechanism for securing additional nuclear‑sourced power, particularly in markets where siting or transmission expansion presents challenges.

Alongside optimization of existing assets, new large light‑water reactors (LWRs) continue to feature in long‑term planning discussions. LWR technology is well understood, benefits from an established regulatory framework, and has demonstrated operating performance over decades. Recent construction experience, both domestic and international, underscores the importance of disciplined project management, supply chain readiness, and regulatory coordination in controlling costs and schedules.

While new large reactors require substantial upfront investment and long development timelines, they remain a viable option for jurisdictions seeking significant, long‑duration capacity additions. In the context of AI‑driven demand growth, these projects may appeal to utilities and regions planning for sustained load increases over multiple decades rather than incremental or short‑term needs.

Advanced Reactors for Dedicated and Specialized Loads

Advanced reactor technologies, including Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), non‑light‑water reactors, and microreactors, were increasingly explored as potential power solutions for dedicated and specialized applications in 2025. These technologies offer the prospect of greater flexibility in siting, scalable deployment, and integration with industrial facilities, data centers, and national security installations that require high reliability and resilience.

In 2025, interest in SMRs and other advanced designs continued to grow among both energy developers and large energy users, particularly where behind‑the‑meter or co‑located generation could mitigate transmission constraints. For data centers, advanced reactors may eventually enable tailored power solutions that align generation capacity more closely with localized demand, though commercialization timelines and regulatory pathways remain key considerations.

Regulatory Readiness and Infrastructure Constraints

As demand for nuclear-sourced power increases, regulatory readiness has emerged as a critical factor. The anticipated volume of licensing actions, ranging from power uprates and license renewals to reactor restarts and new reactor applications, has underscored the importance of NRC staffing, scheduling, and interagency coordination. These pressures are heightened by broader federal resource constraints and periodic funding disruptions, which can affect agency staffing levels and review continuity. Absent sufficient resources and process efficiencies, increased demand could translate into new bottlenecks that delay project timelines.

Infrastructure constraints, including transmission capacity and fuel supply considerations, further complicate deployment decisions. Addressing these challenges will require coordinated planning among regulators, utilities, developers, and large energy users to ensure that nuclear projects can move forward in parallel with broader grid modernization efforts.

In addition to regulatory and infrastructure constraints, investor hesitation tied to construction risk remains a primary hurdle for new nuclear development. Cost overruns and schedule delays from prior large-scale projects continue to influence financing decisions, even as developers explore contractual mechanisms to allocate and manage construction risk more effectively. As the industry moves toward a new era of nuclear buildout, further development of the supply chain and expansion of the skilled construction workforce will be critical to improving project execution and restoring investor confidence.

Looking Ahead: AI, Data Centers, and Nuclear Power Demand

  • How will sustained AI- and data-center-driven load growth influence long-term power planning? As computing demand continues to rise, utilities and developers may increasingly prioritize firm, carbon-free capacity—prompting greater reliance on nuclear power alongside renewables and storage.
  • Will more technology companies pursue nuclear-backed power arrangements? Growing interest in reliability and emissions reductions may drive expanded use of nuclear-backed procurement models, including direct contracts, utility-mediated supply, and co-location strategies.
  • How will the NRC manage increasing volumes of uprate and licensing requests tied to demand growth? The NRC’s ability to efficiently process power uprates, license renewals, restarts, and new applications will play a central role in shaping nuclear power’s contribution to digital and industrial expansion.

As AI technologies continue to reshape electricity demand, nuclear energy is positioned to play an increasingly strategic role in delivering reliable, large-scale power for data-intensive industries.

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